NBA forecasts, on the record
Every game forecast. Every forecast graded.
5,432
games graded
65.1%
winners picked
67%
2026-27 winners picked
An independent NBA model that forecasts every game and grades every forecast against the final score.
3538 of 5432 forecasts picked the winner.
Hover the ball to see a season.
Games
All dates and filtersUpdated Nov 15, 2026, 12:08 AM ET Injury report none yet How forecasts are locked
Last night Thursday, Nov 12
Last night Friday, Nov 13
- FinalNYK 104IND 106Proj. 117–104 ✗ Picked NYK Upset
- FinalMIL 99ORL 107Proj. 106–117 ✓ Picked ORL
- FinalCLE 121MIA 133Proj. 117–114 ✗ Picked CLE
- FinalATL 117CHI 125Proj. 124–117 ✗ Picked ATL Upset
- FinalMEM 142NOP 111Proj. 120–113 ✓ Picked MEM
- FinalUTA 118HOU 125Proj. 102–119 ✓ Picked HOU
- FinalGSW 85SAS 123Proj. 108–118 ✓ Picked SAS
- FinalPOR 120SAC 107Proj. 124–114 ✓ Picked POR
- FinalOKC 112LAC 113Proj. 118–112 ✗ Picked OKC Upset
Last night Saturday, Nov 14
Tonight Sunday, Nov 15
- 1:00 PM W–LIND 5–8PHI 10–3Forecast coming
- 4:00 PM W–LLAL 11–2PHX 5–6Forecast coming
- 4:30 PM W–LCHA 4–8LAC 3–8Forecast coming
- 5:00 PM W–LSAS 11–2UTA 1–12Forecast coming
- 6:00 PM W–LDAL 7–6BOS 10–2Forecast coming
- 6:00 PM W–LNYK 6–6TOR 5–7Forecast coming
- 7:00 PM W–LHOU 10–3WAS 4–9Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LATL 7–6MIL 1–12Forecast coming
- 9:00 PM W–LOKC 8–5SAC 1–11Forecast coming
Tonight Monday, Nov 16
- 7:00 PM W–LORL 5–7BOS 10–2Forecast coming
- 7:00 PM W–LCHI 3–9CLE 7–7Forecast coming
- 7:00 PM W–LMEM 9–4WAS 4–9Forecast coming
- 7:30 PM W–LPHI 10–3BKN 3–9Forecast coming
- 7:30 PM W–LHOU 10–3MIA 7–6Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LPOR 9–3MIN 9–4Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LGSW 8–5NOP 4–10Forecast coming
- 9:00 PM W–LPHX 5–6DEN 7–4Forecast coming
Tonight Tuesday, Nov 17
Tonight Wednesday, Nov 18
- 7:00 PM W–LMEM 9–4CLE 7–7Forecast coming
- 7:00 PM W–LHOU 10–3IND 5–8Forecast coming
- 7:00 PM W–LMIL 1–12MIA 7–6Forecast coming
- 7:00 PM W–LPHI 10–3ORL 5–7Forecast coming
- 7:30 PM W–LCHI 3–9BKN 3–9Forecast coming
- 7:30 PM W–LWAS 4–9TOR 5–7Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LDET 8–4NOP 4–10Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LATL 7–6OKC 8–5Forecast coming
- 9:00 PM W–LBOS 10–2DEN 7–4Forecast coming
- 9:30 PM W–LGSW 8–5DAL 7–6Forecast coming
- 10:00 PM W–LUTA 1–12LAL 11–2Forecast coming
- 10:00 PM W–LPHX 5–6SAC 1–11Forecast coming
Tonight Thursday, Nov 19
Tonight Friday, Nov 20
- 7:00 PM W–LCHA 4–8ATL 7–6Forecast coming
- 7:30 PM W–LORL 5–7BKN 3–9Forecast coming
- 7:30 PM W–LIND 5–8CLE 7–7Forecast coming
- 7:30 PM W–LTOR 5–7DET 8–4Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LWAS 4–9CHI 3–9Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LNOP 4–10OKC 8–5Forecast coming
- 9:30 PM W–LPHX 5–6UTA 1–12Forecast coming
- 10:00 PM W–LHOU 10–3DEN 7–4Forecast coming
- 10:00 PM W–LSAC 1–11LAL 11–2Forecast coming
Tonight Saturday, Nov 21
Tonight Sunday, Nov 22
- 3:30 PM W–LDET 8–4ATL 7–6Forecast coming
- 6:00 PM W–LOKC 8–5MIA 7–6Forecast coming
- 7:00 PM W–LORL 5–7WAS 4–9Forecast coming
- 7:00 PM W–LDEN 7–4CHI 3–9Forecast coming
- 7:00 PM W–LDAL 7–6UTA 1–12Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LIND 5–8NYK 6–6Forecast coming
- 8:30 PM W–LBOS 10–2GSW 8–5Forecast coming
Biggest surprise of the week
UpsetCHI beat MIN on Nov 14. The model gave CHI a 14% chance.
| Team | Win chance | Forecast | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 15% | 106 | 117 | ✓ Won |
| @MINpicked | 86% | 121 | 106 |
Forecast: MIN by 15. Final: CHI by 11. Missed the margin by 26 points.Game breakdown →NBA.com recap ↗
Surprising relative to this model's forecast. Which teams are hardest to forecast?