5,390
games graded
NBA forecasts, on the record
Every game forecast. Every forecast graded.
An independent NBA model that forecasts every game and grades every forecast against the final score.
3510 of 5390 forecasts picked the winner.
Hover the ball to see a season.
65.1%
winners picked
67.1%
2026-27 winners picked
Games
All dates and filtersUpdated Nov 9, 2026, 9:33 PM ET Injury report Nov 9, 9:30 PM ET How forecasts are locked
Last night Friday, Nov 6
- FinalWAS 132ATL 139Proj. 110–120 ✓ Picked ATL
- FinalBOS 119CHA 80Proj. 111–104 ✓ Picked BOS
- FinalPHI 95CLE 119Proj. 117–116 ✗ Picked PHI
- FinalUTA 100DAL 112Proj. 114–121 ✓ Picked DAL
- FinalOKC 128MEM 97Proj. 116–112 ✓ Picked OKC
- FinalTOR 121MIL 107Proj. 122–115 ✓ Picked TOR
- FinalMIN 115NOP 109Proj. 122–115 ✓ Picked MIN
- FinalPOR 118LAL 124Proj. 114–119 ✓ Picked LAL
- FinalSAS 124SAC 109Proj. 121–111 ✓ Picked SAS
Last night Saturday, Nov 7
- FinalDEN 114IND 102Proj. 119–112 ✓ Picked DEN
- FinalBKN 121ATL 124Proj. 109–121 ✓ Picked ATL
- FinalNYK 109CLE 97Proj. 113–108 ✓ Picked NYK
- FinalWAS 75OKC 114Proj. 107–115 ✓ Picked OKC
- FinalORL 119GSW 126Proj. 107–119 ✓ Picked GSW
- FinalHOU 99PHX 102Proj. 117–111 ✗ Picked HOU Upset
- FinalSAS 125POR 103Proj. 115–109 ✓ Picked SAS
Last night Sunday, Nov 8
- FinalPHI 127CHI 121Proj. 123–116 ✓ Picked PHI
- FinalLAL 121DET 116Proj. 109–113 ✗ Picked DET
- FinalUTA 100MIN 115Proj. 106–123 ✓ Picked MIN
- FinalBKN 93DAL 130Proj. 109–118 ✓ Picked DAL
- FinalBOS 117MIL 97Proj. 120–111 ✓ Picked BOS
- FinalNOP 123LAC 139Proj. 115–119 ✓ Picked LAC
- FinalMIA 114SAC 108Proj. 123–118 ✓ Picked MIA
Tonight Monday, Nov 9
Tonight Tuesday, Nov 10
Tonight Wednesday, Nov 11
- 7:00 PM W–LWAS 4–6IND 3–7Forecast coming
- 7:00 PM W–LCLE 5–5NYK 5–4Forecast coming
- 7:00 PM W–LBOS 8–2TOR 5–4Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LSAS 8–2CHI 1–8Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LDEN 5–3MEM 6–3Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LLAL 9–2MIL 1–9Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LBKN 2–8NOP 4–6Forecast coming
- 9:00 PM W–LORL 2–7UTA 1–9Forecast coming
- 9:30 PM W–LGSW 7–3HOU 7–3Forecast coming
- 10:00 PM W–LOKC 8–2POR 6–3Forecast coming
Tonight Thursday, Nov 12
Tonight Friday, Nov 13
- 7:00 PM W–LNYK 5–4IND 3–7Forecast coming
- 7:00 PM W–LMIL 1–9ORL 2–7Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LCLE 5–5MIA 4–6Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LATL 7–4CHI 1–8Forecast coming
- 8:00 PM W–LMEM 6–3NOP 4–6Forecast coming
- 8:30 PM W–LUTA 1–9HOU 7–3Forecast coming
- 9:30 PM W–LGSW 7–3SAS 8–2Forecast coming
- 10:00 PM W–LPOR 6–3SAC 1–9Forecast coming
- 10:30 PM W–LOKC 8–2LAC 2–7Forecast coming
Biggest surprise of the week
UpsetMIN beat HOU on Nov 4. The model gave MIN a 13% chance.
| Team | Win chance | Forecast | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 13% | 101 | 117 | ✓ Won |
| @HOUpicked | 87% | 118 | 107 |
Forecast: HOU by 17. Final: MIN by 10. Missed the margin by 27 points.Game breakdown →NBA.com recap ↗
Surprising relative to this model's forecast. Which teams are hardest to forecast?