2026-27 season
Teams
Current form for every team, with how each one finished against the model's expectations in the most recent full season. Open a team for its forecast history.
Team Predictability: which teams are hardest to forecast →
- SAS Spurs #18–2 record 1711 Elo
- NYK Knicks #25–4 record 1679 Elo
- OKC Thunder #38–2 record 1677 Elo
- DET Pistons #46–3 record 1637 Elo
- BOS Celtics #58–2 record 1634 Elo
- MIN Timberwolves #68–3 record 1615 Elo
- HOU Rockets #77–3 record 1608 Elo
- LAL Lakers #89–2 record 1604 Elo
- DEN Nuggets #95–3 record 1578 Elo
- CLE Cavaliers #105–5 record 1572 Elo
- PHI 76ers #119–2 record 1564 Elo
- POR Trail Blazers #126–3 record 1548 Elo
- ATL Hawks #137–4 record 1546 Elo
- TOR Raptors #145–4 record 1546 Elo
- GSW Golden State Warriors #157–3 record 1515 Elo
- PHX Suns #163–5 record 1494 Elo
- ORL Magic #172–7 record 1484 Elo
- MIA Heat #184–6 record 1481 Elo
- LAC Clippers #192–7 record 1477 Elo
- CHA Hornets #203–7 record 1473 Elo
- DAL Mavericks #216–4 record 1442 Elo
- NOP Pelicans #224–6 record 1424 Elo
- MEM Grizzlies #236–3 record 1395 Elo
- IND Pacers #243–7 record 1351 Elo
- CHI Bulls #251–8 record 1350 Elo
- SAC Kings #261–9 record 1336 Elo
- MIL Bucks #271–9 record 1330 Elo
- WAS Wizards #284–6 record 1327 Elo
- BKN Nets #292–8 record 1313 Elo
- UTA Jazz #301–9 record 1294 Elo
Ranked by current Elo. Trend lines show each team's pregame Elo over its last 82 games with a forecast, on a common scale; the faint line is 1500, the long-run average.
The league on one scale
All teams, sortable
| Team | Conf. | 2026-27 W–L | Elo | Off. rtg | Def. rtg | Pace | 2025-26 wins vs exp. | 2025-26 picks correct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL Atlanta Hawks | East | 7–4 | 1546 | 114.3 | 111.1 | 102.8 | +0.7 | 66% |
| BKN Brooklyn Nets | East | 2–8 | 1313 | 105.6 | 114.6 | 99.8 | −6.5 | 77% |
| BOS Boston Celtics | East | 8–2 | 1634 | 117.9 | 106.4 | 96.8 | +2.0 | 65% |
| CHA Charlotte Hornets | East | 3–7 | 1473 | 99.8 | 113.9 | 96.7 | +2.9 | 67% |
| CHI Chicago Bulls | East | 1–8 | 1350 | 108.3 | 124.7 | 105.5 | −6.1 | 56% |
| CLE Cleveland Cavaliers | East | 5–5 | 1572 | 115.1 | 112.7 | 100.5 | +2.6 | 70% |
| DAL Dallas Mavericks | West | 6–4 | 1442 | 114.2 | 109.4 | 99.8 | −6.0 | 61% |
| DEN Denver Nuggets | West | 5–3 | 1578 | 114.8 | 113.8 | 98.2 | +4.0 | 61% |
| DET Detroit Pistons | East | 6–3 | 1637 | 111.2 | 107.3 | 98.8 | +5.3 | 68% |
| GSW Golden State Warriors | West | 7–3 | 1515 | 116.9 | 112.2 | 100.4 | −6.2 | 63% |
| HOU Houston Rockets | West | 7–3 | 1608 | 118.6 | 109.4 | 97.8 | −0.2 | 63% |
| IND Indiana Pacers | East | 3–7 | 1351 | 108.7 | 112.4 | 101.4 | −9.8 | 70% |
| LAC Los Angeles Clippers | West | 2–7 | 1477 | 111.3 | 114.4 | 100.3 | −0.8 | 71% |
| LAL Los Angeles Lakers | West | 9–2 | 1604 | 121.2 | 115.2 | 100.0 | +8.8 | 63% |
| MEM Memphis Grizzlies | West | 6–3 | 1395 | 112.8 | 110.5 | 101.9 | −11.3 | 73% |
| MIA Miami Heat | East | 4–6 | 1481 | 111.2 | 116.9 | 102.9 | −0.7 | 60% |
| MIL Milwaukee Bucks | East | 1–9 | 1330 | 106.4 | 119.7 | 101.8 | −3.6 | 60% |
| MIN Minnesota Timberwolves | West | 8–3 | 1615 | 115.5 | 105.5 | 100.3 | +1.5 | 62% |
| NOP New Orleans Pelicans | West | 4–6 | 1424 | 114.0 | 114.6 | 102.4 | −3.0 | 71% |
| NYK New York Knicks | East | 5–4 | 1679 | 114.1 | 108.7 | 96.0 | +7.6 | 73% |
| OKC Oklahoma City Thunder | West | 8–2 | 1677 | 113.3 | 105.6 | 98.8 | +9.0 | 84% |
| ORL Orlando Magic | East | 2–7 | 1484 | 107.2 | 117.1 | 98.0 | +2.2 | 65% |
| PHI Philadelphia 76ers | East | 9–2 | 1564 | 111.0 | 108.8 | 100.3 | +8.0 | 61% |
| PHX Phoenix Suns | West | 3–5 | 1494 | 114.6 | 121.4 | 98.7 | +1.3 | 66% |
| POR Portland Trail Blazers | West | 6–3 | 1548 | 115.8 | 113.0 | 100.8 | −0.3 | 66% |
| SAC Sacramento Kings | West | 1–9 | 1336 | 107.6 | 120.1 | 101.7 | −5.4 | 73% |
| SAS San Antonio Spurs | West | 8–2 | 1711 | 117.4 | 107.2 | 99.9 | +11.3 | 68% |
| TOR Toronto Raptors | East | 5–4 | 1546 | 115.3 | 112.0 | 101.2 | +0.4 | 63% |
| UTA Utah Jazz | West | 1–9 | 1294 | 102.8 | 114.5 | 101.1 | −3.3 | 74% |
| WAS Washington Wizards | East | 4–6 | 1327 | 108.1 | 112.9 | 99.6 | −4.5 | 77% |
No teams match that search.
W–L: 2026-27 regular season, from final scores in this edition. Elo: the rating recorded with each team's most recent forecast. Off. / Def. rtg, Pace: points scored and allowed per 100 possessions and possessions per game over the last 10 games, as of Nov 9. Lower defensive rating is better.
2025-26 Wins vs exp.: actual wins minus the sum of the team's pregame win probabilities. Picks correct: share of the team's games where the forecast winner won. Both use the 2025-26 season, about 82 to 100 games per team.